Michael Toth is a data scientist at Orchard, where he specializes in analyzing whole loan portfolios of large institutional investors in the online lending industry.
Michael Toth provides daily risk reporting and ad-hoc analytical support for large banking and financial institutions with portfolios totaling over $500 billion in assets. He performs extensive valuation and risk analysis of fixed income securities with a primary focus on Mortgage Backed Securities, CMOs, and Interest Rate Derivatives. Michael Toth has conducted Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR) Stress Testing for the Federal Reserve on a quarterly basis to determine the balance sheet capitalization and financial risk of several large financial institutions.
While at Allstate, Michael Toth assisted a 10-person trading desk in hedging the interest rate and foreign currency risks of Allstate Insurance Company's $100 billion investment portfolio. Michael performed statistical regression analysis to investigate volatility skew and relationships between volatilities and asset returns. While on the trading desk, Michael Toth also gained experience booking trades, becoming more familiar with both the trading process and the structure of a variety of derivatives instruments
While Michael Toth was a student at Penn, he provided instruction and exam preparation covering a variety of data analysis topics related to probability and business statistics. Michael raised student testing scores an average of 15 points over previous exam scores and achieved an exam passing rate of 100% among tutored students. Michael covered topics in regression analysis, probability distributions, stochastic processes, and time series analysis. He worked extensively with R/S-Plus and JMP Statistical Analysis Software
Bachelor of Science
Concentration: Finance and Statistics, Minor in Mathematics
Data Analysis, Data Science, Data Visualization, Data Cleaning, Predictive Modeling, Programming, Regression Analysis, R, SQL, UNIX, Linux, Command Line Tools, Python, Fixed Income Securities, Derivatives, Mortgages, Whole Loans
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